Is This a Tokarev ? vs. the M1 Carbine

Picture from Life Magazine in Germany 1945.
GI's playing with some Russians.
I see............. Rear Adj site, Type II band, and flat bolt.
Have to wonder if either is sober enough to hit what their aiming at.
Surely there's a wager riding here...........
Think it might be if the spent carbine brass nails the Russian in the face?

Cheers,
Charlie-painter777

https://www.milsurps.com/images/impo.../USAUSSR-1.jpg

It's always interesting to see an adjustable sight in-theater before the end of WWII and possibly before VE Day.