Ruth, p. 211 shows 5 carbines with serial numbers +/- 4000 of yours being subjected to interchangeability tests on August 15, 1943. Nothing can guarantee a particular receiver was part of a carbine completed on a particular day. The closest I have seen is where the Carbine Club newsletters have a Winchester log that shows the last receiver stamped on each day of their entire production run, and while this info is useful for establishing an 'early' date range, there are a lot of steps after serial number roll on.
I understand the logic tree you're climbing - I have done the same thing myself with an original carbine that contains an extractor obtained from another maker - and it has a Ruth reference showing 5000 were obtained at just about the right time for my gun. So, keep doing the "what if" process, just stop before you get to wishing it so. Logic would insist that you give equal weight to the possibility of a replacement handguard - and nothing can disprove that it was a wartime ordnance shop job.
Interestingly, the CC newsletters have two Inlands with 9-43 barrels that have serial numbers slightly below the highest serial number in the above mentioned 8-15-43 interchangeability test. So, to be logical, if you want to claim the Rockola handguard is original due to some quirk in the manufacturing process delaying the receiver's use, you have to give equal weight to the possibility yours is a replacement barrel. Ruth in the NPM chapter shows 10 barrel assemblies were to be delivered with every 100 carbines - so a barrel that seems a bit too early for the rest of the gun could be a replacement - and could easily be a wartime replacement (war tends to result in lots of broken stuff). Good luck!