When it really happens: SHTF...

[Aragorn243]

I like running numbers because numbers can put things into perspective. I was wondering if the Covid-19 deaths were significant in the grand scheme of things so I ran the numbers this morning.

PA had 29 deaths attributed to Covid-19 yesterday. PA has an average of 371 deaths per day on a "normal" day. Covid-19 is very hard on those with heart disease, lower respiratory conditions, pneumonia, diabetes and the elderly. PA has an average of 161 deaths per day on a "normal" day from these causes. So the question becomes, how many died from Covid-19 or the underlying condition.

NY on the other hand had 798 deaths from Covid-19 yesterday. NY has an average of 165 deaths per day on a "normal" day from the underlying causes. So Covid-19 has increased the daily death toll by at least 633 people. This is pretty significant obviously.

PA had a very early shutdown, NY was encouraging people to act normally when PA was shutdown. Probably the difference.

But it also shows that with social distancing, masks, and other precautions in place this can be managed. Total shutdowns are not needed.

Meanwhile the governor of PA declared all schools closed for the remainder of the year. Online schooling continues. Still no word on opening things up.