well, I just checked gunbroker out of curiosity and smokeless, imr4895,4064,varget, etc, all seem to be going $100+ per pound. ughhh. I did my job building stock over years before all this - enough to last several years, but like many similar folks I'm now stressing over how long I can still shoot and at what level of rationing. I'm pessimistic that this is going to last at least 3 years or so.
grafs has plenty of musket caps and black powder in stock.
Here is the statements from Hodgdon. I just read too that Hodgdon acquired all of Western powders smokeless brands (e.g. accurate) back in Oct. 2020.
https://hodgdon.com/powder-shortage-statement/
If 80% of their business is still reloaders, and Hodgdon owns just about all the US brands, who is the main suppliers for the ammo factories? The US government?